NOPIN upsets so far

[CLC FAN]

NOPIN has been updated.

71 teams had their NOPIN scores changed based on upsets that happened in the first half of the season.  The final update will happen before Regionals.

Please keep logging those upsets!

[CLC FAN]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qNBKpJSnEkquZ3iI63sCUxWjmUWc8l5VKe-aJ0SIEIc/edit?usp=sharing

NOPIN

[ChargerDad]

Wittenberg-Birnamwood with a 13% chance to defeat Holmen beat them 37-36 at the Wausau West duals on 12/5.  Added to sheet..

[littledoc83]

Was Sheboygan Falls over Crivitz a typo?  Seems like an odd matchup to wrestle a dual.

[coastguard]

Port 48
Nicolet 21

NoPin gave Port a 19% chance to win.

[CLC FAN]

Was Sheboygan Falls over Crivitz a typo?  Seems like an odd matchup to wrestle a dual.

HAHAH!  Yes.  I fixed it above.  Sheboygan Falls unexpectedly beat Plymouth, not Crivitz.  Just a wee bit more geographically feasible.  Thanks for catching it.

[ramjet]

Was Sheboygan Falls over Crivitz a typo?  Seems like an odd matchup to wrestle a dual.

HAHAH!  Yes.  I fixed it above.  Sheboygan Falls unexpectedly beat Plymouth, not Crivitz.  Just a wee bit more geographically feasible.  Thanks for catching it.

That made me laugh out loud 

[CLC FAN]

Had some time so I ran through the Devil Duals in WI Dells.  This looks like a great tournament.  Bracketed dual tournament instead of round robin- who'd have thought?

[CLC FAN]

Ran through Northern Exposure.  Last call for Dual upsets from the 2019 half of this season.  NOPIN will get updated on New Year's Day.

Thanks again to all of you who have helped with logging upsets. 

[CLC FAN]

Thanks to everyone who's been helping keep track of NOPIN upsets this season!  I'm humbled by how many of you are pitching in and interacting with the system.  When I re-calibrate after Christmas, all of this data will make an impact and should improve NOPIN's performance.  Here's what's been entered in the first half of the season:



49-40% chance given to winning team
Neenah over Hortonville
Crivitz over Wabeno/Laona
Sheboygan Falls over Plymouth
Oshkosh West over Bay Port
Neenah over Hortonville
Appleton West over New Lisbon
North Fond du Lac/SMS over Brookfield Central
Wittenberg-Birnamwood over Medford
Edgar over Wild Rose/Wautoma
Whitnall/Greendale over Boyceville
Whitnall/Greendale over DC Everest
Lomira over Fond du Lac
Minearl Point over Reedsburg Area
GET/Melrose-Mindoro over Slinger
Marshfield over Freedom
Portage over Northwestern
Port Washington over Waukesha South
Waukesha South over Menomonie
Wisconsin Rapids over Marshfield
De Pere over Ashwaubenon
East Troy over Beaver Dam
Menomonie over Marquette
Merrill over Waukesha South


39-30% chance given to winning team
Bay Port over Luxemburg Casco
Prairie du Chien over Lodi
WI Dells over Boyceville
Hudson over Slinger
Kimberly over Slinger
Mineral Point over Whitnall/Greendale
Kewaskum over Reedsburg Area
Prairie du Chien over GET/Melrose-Mindoro
Prairie du Chien over Hudson
Waukesha West over Northwestern
Waukesha West ove Wautoma/Wild Rose
Northwestern over Fond du Lac
Portage over WI Dells
Merrill over Menomonie
WI Dells over Boyceville
Brillion over Kiel
Appleton West over Rosholt
Bay Port over WI Rapids



29-20% chance given to winning team
Prairie du Chien over Random Lake
Denmark over Luxemburg Casco
Brillion over Two Rivers
Stevens Point over Marshfield
Oshkosh North over Fond du Lac
Hortonville over Freedom
Evansville/Albany over Marshfield
Adams-Friendship over New Lisbon
Oshkosh North over Wautoma/Wild Rose
WI Dells over Weyauwega-Fremont
Viroqua over Cumberland
Prairie du Chien over Marshfield
Cadott over GET/Melrose-Mindoro
Kewaskum over Cumberland
Reedsburg Area over DC Everest
Belmont/Platteville over Pecatonica/Argyle





19-10% chance given to winning team
Reedsville over Cedar Grove-Belgium
Port Washington over Nicolet
Wittenberg-Birnamwood over Holmen
North Fond du Lac/SMS over Weyauwega-Fremont
Marinette over Little Chute
Appleton West over Viroqua
Appleton West over East Troy
Appleton West over Beaver Dam
Port Washington over Sauk Prarie

9-1% chance given to winning team
Appleton West over Edgar
Iowa-Grant/Highland over Fond du Lac



If you report an upset on the spreadsheet and then a few days later it disappears, it just means I have locked in a batch of them - looked for repeats or instances where a JV dual was accidentally used instead of the varsity one - and pasted them all at the bottom of the sheet.  They will all stay recorded all year.

[CLC FAN]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qNBKpJSnEkquZ3iI63sCUxWjmUWc8l5VKe-aJ0SIEIc/edit?usp=sharing

NOPIN has been updated.  See altered top post for new list of upsets as they come in during January.